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We've all heard his dramatic speeches before devoted followers, she said. But when the cloud of rhetoric has passed, when the roar of the crowd fades away, when the stadium lights go out and those styrofoam Greek columns are hauled back to some studio lot, what exactly is our opponents plan?
That is the question that Middle america has been asking for months.
While Obama supporters here on Newsvine can quote Obama's plan chapter and verse, Middle America has not connected with Obama and that is problematic for his campaign.
Now you can anylize it,but Obama's fundamental problem, and its not his fault, is his education. Obama has spent years in a rarified atmosphere, prestigious private academy in Hawaii, Harvard Law, The Illinois State Senate, The US Senate. He has probably attended more cocktail parties in one year than most Americans will go to in a lifetime.
Obama is articulate and smart,but maybe 'too smart" for Middle America.
Sarah Palin "gets it" and Middle America "gets it". Her speech last night was remarkable not for what she said but the connection she made with Middle America. The recent Gallup polls show 21 percent of voters are undecided. Now to look on places like Newsvine, you might ask "undecided voters"?
They are out there. McCains choice of Palin was a brilliant one. Not because she might be the "Best Choice" or the smartest woman in America, she isnt. What she is is what America hopes to be, Strong and independent, not afraid to take chances, she has fought her way to the top.
She didn't do it with a Harvard law degree and that is maybe why she can connect with the common man or woman.
Now how will we know if McCains choice was a home run or a strike?
Things to look for. Within a week or 10 days we should have some Polling date, real data, not "convention bounce" data. Key states to look at would be the swing states of PA, OH, MI, VA.
Currently Obama has a lead In Michigan and Pennsylvania, Virginia is essentiall a tie, McCain leads in Ohio.
If we see the Obama lead begin to errode In Michigan and Pennsylvaia and McCain's lead strengthen in Ohio, then the Obama campaign is in serious trouble. This will be evidence that McCain Palin has connected with Middle America,the "bitter/clinging" folks that voted overwhelmingly for Clinton, the "Reagan Democrats". It will also signal movement among the 21 percent undecided voter block.
Other key states to look at are Colorado and New Hamshire where Obama has a "slight lead" less than a point. If those shift to McCain we may be seeing a McCain presidency come November
I fully expect this to be a close election Popular vote wise. It is the Electoral college that will make the difference here. I could even see a situation developing where Obama wins the Popular vote yet loses the election on Electoral College.
If McCain-Palin can reach Middle America, and Palin seemed to play well last night. Then McCain-Palin wins those
key swing states you MUST WIN to get elected..
